Silicom is co-opting its only true competitor, Intel Corp. The giant chip maker used to provide some of the technologies that Silicom offers as a bundled feature in certain semiconductor products. In December Intel signed a deal with Silicom to work together on a series of new offerings. Further collaboration is possible down the road if Intel elects to rely on Silicom's industry standard products instead of reinventing the wheel themselves. The only other direct competition that Silicom currently encounters is from in-house design teams. Many manufacturers of specialty computers still attempt to design 100% of the functionality of their products internally. Silicom increasingly is replacing those efforts when new products are developed.
Several factors promise to sustain growth at a superior rate. The industry itself is continuing to expand. Big data, mobile, and cloud computing are expanding much more quickly than the computer industry as a whole. Silicom already is well entrenched in those segments. The data virtualization expansion is likely to reinforce that momentum. Unit volume in existing programs should benefit directly. Silicom also is adding new customers. Over 90 companies currently rely on the company's technologies to some degree. And those customers are engineering Silicom's technologies into a greater number of new designs.
We estimate 2014 sales will surge 25%-35% to $90-$100 million. Income, excluding the affect of non-cash stock option expense, could reach $2.75-$3.25 a share. Cash flow remains positive. Silicom has expanded inventory levels to ensure the best possible response time when customers place orders. Even so, a hike in the cash dividend is possible. There's plenty of cash on hand, moreover, to purchase additional technologies.
Note - Older reports about Silicom can be found in the "Archives" in the "Israeli Growth Stock" section, which appears at the end. Those companies now are followed in this blog, "International Growth Stocks."
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Silicom reported good on target March quarter results. Some orders probably were accelerated into the preceding period, which was a barn burner. The stock sold off on relatively weak sequential comparison. Earnings were up 37% year to year. The shares also came under pressure due to a contemplated (shelf) stock offering encompassing as much as $80 million. Investors are concerned Silicom might buy a promising technology, but at a steep price. With the recent decline in technology share prices, that concern will be alleviated. Indeed, the stock market's demise may have a silver lining for Silicom if it prompts a fence sitting target to sell, and at a reasonable price.
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